Larry Sabato downgrades Boucher

As talk grows about Virginia State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith challenging Rep. Rick Boucher (D-9th CD), Larry Sabato downgrades Boucher's district from "Safe D" to "Likely D" and comments:

When an incumbent member of Congress who has represented the same district for 28 years draws a challenger who does not even live in the district should he be worried? If the incumbent is Virginia Democrat Rick Boucher then yes.

Boucher voted for the cap-and-trade bill in a coal industry area of the state and that's not sitting well with folks from that area. Read Mr. Sabato's complete analysis.