Good news for the GOP....
McDonnell leads for Governor
Public Policy Polling's first post primary look at the race for Governor of Virginia finds Republican Bob McDonnell holding a 49-43 lead over Democrat Creigh Deeds.
Several polls conducted immediately after the primary had shown Deeds moving into the lead but it appears his bounce has worn off.
Both candidates are pretty popular. McDonnell is viewed favorably by 51% of the electorate, with 32% holding an unfavorable opinion. For Deeds it's a 48/29 spread. McDonnell's lead is due largely to a 54/33 advantage among independents.
There is some good news for Deeds in the results. He currently leads just 68-16 among African Americans but Democrats often under poll in that demographic this far out from an election and end up doing better at the ballot box. Also, there are more undecided Democrats than Republicans, giving him room to grow.
"The race for Governor right now is in a very similar place to 2005," said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. "The Republican Attorney General has a modest lead four months out from election day. The question now is whether McDonnell can sustain it, unlike Jerry Kilgore, or whether Deeds will come from behind to win as Tim Kaine did."
Republicans hold similar leads in the races for Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General. Incumbent Bill Bolling is up 46-40 on Jody Wagner in the former race and Ken Cuccinelli has a 45-38 lead over Steve Shannon in the latter.
PPP surveyed 617 likely general election voters from June 30th to July 2nd. The survey's margin of error is +/-4.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
Complete results can be found at www.publicpolicypolling.com.
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