Friday, September 28, 2012

Poll: Independents breaking big for George Allen

The Virginia U.S. Senate race is still tied. A new Suffolk University/NBC-12 poll released Thursday showed George Allen (R) and Tim Kaine (D) at 44%-44%. The poll was conducted Sept. 24-26 and surveyed 600 likely voters, for a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points. Those sampled were 35 percent Republican, 38 percent Democrat, and 27 percent Independent.

This poll continues a trend that has been seen since August: Independents broke for George Allen by 23 percentage points, 52-28 percent.

The poll confirmed that Allen is leading in western-southwestern Virginia where he leads Kaine by 23%. Not surprisingly, Kaine, who is no friend to the rural coal industry, is leading in Northern Virginia.

Interestingly, only 12 percent of those surveyed watched last week's Fairfax Senate debate. However, women thought Allen won the debate 50-40 percent, and Independents went with Allen 60-35 percent.

Election Day is November 6.

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